Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000619 0.000745 0.000884 0.001049 0.001237 0.001444 0.001689
2025-08-03 0.000454 0.000620 0.000822 0.001082 0.001403 0.001783 0.002263
2025-08-10 0.000368 0.000552 0.000789 0.001113 0.001535 0.002057 0.002745
2025-08-17 0.000274 0.000451 0.000695 0.001047 0.001528 0.002150 0.002998
2025-08-24 0.000212 0.000380 0.000627 0.001001 0.001535 0.002250 0.003256
2025-08-31 0.000172 0.000334 0.000587 0.000987 0.001579 0.002395 0.003574
2025-09-07 0.000141 0.000297 0.000553 0.000974 0.001620 0.002535 0.003888
2025-09-14 0.000115 0.000262 0.000516 0.000953 0.001644 0.002650 0.004168
2025-09-21 0.000094 0.000232 0.000485 0.000935 0.001668 0.002762 0.004446
2025-09-28 0.000077 0.000207 0.000456 0.000917 0.001691 0.002871 0.004723
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000193 0.000445 0.000929 0.001760 0.003050 0.005106
2025-10-12 0.000060 0.000183 0.000442 0.000952 0.001849 0.003263 0.005547
2025-10-19 0.000051 0.000174 0.000445 0.001001 0.002006 0.003629 0.006295
2025-10-26 0.000043 0.000161 0.000440 0.001037 0.002153 0.003996 0.007078
2025-11-02 0.000035 0.000148 0.000433 0.001067 0.002287 0.004345 0.007848
2025-11-09 0.000024 0.000120 0.000382 0.001003 0.002246 0.004404 0.008158
2025-11-16 0.000017 0.000099 0.000345 0.000959 0.002235 0.004508 0.008544
2025-11-23 0.000013 0.000086 0.000323 0.000945 0.002278 0.004707 0.009091
2025-11-30 0.000009 0.000075 0.000304 0.000933 0.002323 0.004909 0.009650
2025-12-07 0.000007 0.000064 0.000283 0.000913 0.002348 0.005076 0.010156
2025-12-14 0.000005 0.000055 0.000264 0.000895 0.002375 0.005247 0.010674
2025-12-21 0.000003 0.000047 0.000247 0.000878 0.002403 0.005419 0.011199
2025-12-28 0.000003 0.000043 0.000241 0.000889 0.002492 0.005710 0.011946